Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 1
Roma

Romagnoli (47')
Zaccagni (30'), Isaksen (45+1'), Pellegrini (63'), Rovella (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soule (69')
Paredes (5'), Mancini (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A derby between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Lazio
Thursday, April 10 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Roma
46.46% ( 0.3)	25.91% ( -0.02)	27.63% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.47% (

-0.1)

52.53% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.81% (

-0.08)

74.19% (

0.08)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41% (

0.09)

22.58% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81% (

0.14)

56.19% (

-0.14)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

-0.27)

33.79% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

-0.3)

70.45% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Lazio 46.46%

Roma 27.63%

Draw 25.91%

Lazio	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.46%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.63%