Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Sead Kolasinac 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 40'
  • goal Gustav Isaksen 54'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 88'

Atalanta BC vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Mateo Retegui

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Mar 31, 2025 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Valentin Castellanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Atalanta BC 49.47% (-0.31)
Draw 24.58% (+0.11)
Lazio 25.96% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.07% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.81% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 48.19% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 29.65% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 70.35% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.19)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 80.48% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 19.52% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 48.6% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 51.4% (+0.39)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 67.18% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.82% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.61% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.39% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 49.46%
Draw 24.58%
Lazio 25.96%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.46% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.41% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.58%
Lazio
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.98% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.96%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 18
Dec 28, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 27' goal
  • Mattia Zaccagni 69' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Rovella 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isak Hien 34'
  • yellowcard Juan Cuadrado 69'
  • goal Marco Brescianini 88'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 90'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Mario Pasalic 9' yellowcard
  • Gian Piero Gasperini 10' yellowcard
  • Mario Pasalic 16' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 43' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 76' goal
  • Ederson 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 45'
  • yellowcard Luis Alberto 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Rovella 47'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 84'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Charles De Ketelaere 5' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 11' goal
  • Matias Vecino 83' goal
  • Matias Vecino 84' yellowcard
  • Maurizio Sarri 86' redcard
  • goal Ederson 33'
  • goal Sead Kolasinac 63'
  • yellowcard Matteo Ruggeri 79'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • goal Davide Zappacosta 23'
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 65'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • goal Mattia Zaccagni 10'
  • goal Felipe Anderson 52'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Pezzella 33'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 39'
  • yellowcard Rafael Toloi 84'