Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.