Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.