Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.