Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 36.24% ( | 27.01% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( | 54.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( | 75.77% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( | 28.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( | 64.67% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% ( | 28.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% ( | 64.28% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 2-0 @ 6.36% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0-2 @ 6.47% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.74% |