Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 2, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 1
Cagliari

Orsolini (48' pen., 56')
Freuler (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Piccoli (22')
Obert (29'), Makoumbou (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, February 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Cagliari
62.22% ( -0.45)	22.24% ( 0.25)	15.54% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 45.72% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.61% (

-0.66)

51.38% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

-0.58)

73.2% (

0.58)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99% (

-0.37)

16% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.67% (

-0.69)

45.32% (

0.69)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43% (

-0.13)

45.57% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.61% (

-0.11)

81.38% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bologna 62.22%

Cagliari 15.54%

Draw 22.24%

Bologna	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 62.22%	1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 22.24%	0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.54%