/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
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Riccardo Orsolini
48'
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Riccardo Orsolini
56'
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Remo Freuler
84'
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Roberto Piccoli
22'
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Adam Obert
29'
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Antoine Makoumbou
77'
Bologna vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F42%2Fdan-ndoye.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result
Bologna
62.22%
▼
(-0.45)
Draw
22.24%
▲
(+0.26)
Cagliari
15.54%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
45.72%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.61%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 2.5
51.38%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 3.5
26.8%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 3.5
73.2%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 4.5
12.51%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 4.5
87.48%
▲
(+0.39)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
83.99%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
16%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
54.67%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
45.32%
▲
(+0.69)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
54.43%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
45.57%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
18.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
81.38%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Bologna
62.22%
Draw
22.24%
Cagliari
15.54%
Bologna
1-0
@
13.36%
▲
(+0.19)
2-0 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.22%
2-0 @ 12.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.22%
Draw
1-1
@
10.5%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.24%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 22.24%
Cagliari
0-1
@
5.73%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 15.54%
1-2 @ 4.13% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 15.54%
Martin Caceres
90'