Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.