Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 2
Bologna

Fernando Mosquera Bonilla (80')
Valentini (10'), Suslov (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Odgaard (40'), Cambiaghi (78')
Moro (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 55.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Bologna
19.6% ( -0.2)	24.66% ( 0.03)	55.74% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 46.22% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26% (

-0.35)

54.74% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95% (

-0.29)

76.05% (

0.29)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.47% (

-0.43)

42.53% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

-0.37)

78.89% (

0.37)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0.07)

19.57% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

-0.11)

51.49% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 19.6%

Bologna 55.73%

Draw 24.65%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.6%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 13.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 11.07% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 55.73%