Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.