Europa League
Mar 13, 2025 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Nico Williams 45'+3' goal
  • Yuri Berchiche 68' goal
  • Inaki Williams 71' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 82' goal
  • Andoni Gorosabel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • redcard Mats Hummels 11'
  • yellowcard Mile Svilar 12'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch 60'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 71'
  • goal Leandro Paredes 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Matias Soule 90'+3'

Athletic Bilbao vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Roma 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
Roma 2 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 48.72% (+0.13)
Draw 25.69% (-0.05)
Roma 25.59% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.31% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.03% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 52.97% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 25.43% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 74.57% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 11.63% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.37% (-0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 78.24% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 21.76% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 45.06% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 54.94% (-0.18)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 64.3% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.7% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 27.53% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 72.47% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.72%
Draw 25.68%
Roma 25.59%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.84% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 48.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.68%
Roma
0-1 @ 8% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.59%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 6, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Angelino 56' goal
  • Eldor Shomurodov 72' yellowcard
  • Eldor Shomurodov 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 19'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 34'
  • yellowcard Maroan Sannadi Harrouch 39'
  • goal Inaki Williams 50'
  • redcard Yeray Alvarez 85'
Europa League
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Artem Dovbyk 32' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 44' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 63' yellowcard
  • Oscar de Marcos 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andoni Gorosabel 44'
  • yellowcard Yuri Berchiche 56'
  • goal Aitor Paredes 85'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Nico Williams 90'+5'