Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao3 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Mallorca
Sunday, March 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
45
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Roma (Roma win 3-2 on aggregate)
Roma may have won just two of their last 12 away games in Spain, losing eight, but they are a team transformed under returning hero Claudio Ranieri. Confidence is sky-high in the visitors' camp, while their hosts have been off the boil for a few weeks. So, Athletic's hopes of a home final could be curtailed. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Roma |
48.72% ( 0.12) | 25.69% ( -0.05) | 25.59% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
