Serie A Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • goal Matias Soule 1'

Empoli vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 2.00pm
Genoa 1 - 1 Empoli
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Sebastiano Esposito

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 5.00pm
Roma 2 - 1 Como
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result

Empoli 15.76% (-0.06)
Draw 24.51% (+0.15)
Roma 59.73% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.18% (-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.85% (-0.58)
Under 2.5 59.14% (+0.58)
Over 3.5 20.42% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 79.58% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 8.58% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 91.42% (+0.26)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 50.06% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 49.93% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 15.39% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 84.61% (+0.30)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 80.27% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 19.73% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 48.24% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 51.76% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Empoli 15.76%
Draw 24.5%
Roma 59.73%
Empoli
1-0 @ 6.84% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 3.86% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 15.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.85% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.5%
Roma
0-1 @ 15.99% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 12.97% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.08)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 59.73%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Eldor Shomurodov 80' goal
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 26'
  • goal Emmanuel Gyasi 45'
  • yellowcard Ola Solbakken 58'
  • goal Lorenzo Colombo 61'
  • yellowcard Liberato Cacace 84'
Serie A Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Emmanuel Gyasi 2' yellowcard
  • Matteo Cancellieri 13' goal
  • Mattia Destro 34' yellowcard
  • Razvan Marin 81' yellowcard
  • M'Baye Niang 90' yellowcard
  • M'Baye Niang 90'+3' goal
  • goal Houssem Aouar 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Joao Costa 90'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 7.45pm
7
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 2' goal
  • Renato Sanches 8' goal
  • Alberto Grassi 35' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 38' yellowcard
  • Renato Sanches 39' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 55' goal
  • Bryan Cristante 79' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 82' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 86' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Cancellieri 39'
  • yellowcard Youssef Maleh 58'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Ibanez 2' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 6' goal
Serie A Gameweek 6
Sep 12, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Filippo Bandinelli 43' goal
  • goal Paulo Dybala 17'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 71'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Jan 23, 2022 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 4
FT
  • Andrea Pinamonti 55' goal
  • Lorenzo Tonelli 63' yellowcard
  • Nedim Bajrami 72' goal
  • Marco Benassi 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tammy Abraham 24'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 33'
  • goal Sergio Oliveira 35'
  • goal Nicolo Zaniolo 37'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 52'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 85'