/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fudilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Femplog.png)
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Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
19'
-
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
65'
-
Florian Thauvin
90'
Udinese vs Empoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F40%2Florenzo-lucca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
Result
Udinese
49.92%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
24.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Empoli
25.33%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
52.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.6%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
49.39%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
28.56%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
71.43%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
13.69%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 4.5
86.31%
▲
(+0.14)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5
80.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
48.13%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
51.87%
▼
(-0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5
66.02%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
33.98%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
29.34%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
70.65%
▲
(+0.37)
Score analysis
Udinese
49.92%
Draw
24.74%
Empoli
25.33%
Udinese
1-0
@
10.89%
▲
(+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.92%
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.92%
Draw
1-1
@
11.76%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.74%
0-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 24.74%
Empoli
0-1
@
7.26%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.33%
1-2 @ 6.35% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.33%
Alberto Grassi
90'+15'