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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 16, 2025 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Empoli logo

Udinese
3 - 0
Empoli

Ekkelenkamp (19', 65'), Thauvin (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, February 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 AC Milan
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawEmpoli
49.92% (0.26000000000001 0.26)24.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.33% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.221 -0.22)49.39% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.56% (-0.199 -0.2)71.43% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)19.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.031000000000006 0.03)51.87% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.337 -0.34)33.98% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.34% (-0.367 -0.37)70.65% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 49.92%
    Empoli 25.33%
    Draw 24.74%
UdineseDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.92%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Udinese vs Empoli

Udinese
78.1%
Draw
15.6%
Empoli
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Empoli
1-1
Udinese
Pellegri (23')
Henderson (37'), Ekong (85'), Anjorin (90+1')
Davis (76')
Kamara (8'), Bijol (27')
May 19, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 37
Udinese
1-1
Empoli
Samardzic (90+14' pen.)
Perez (35')
Niang (90' pen.)
Grassi (4'), Bastoni (54'), Ismajli (64'), Gyasi (75'), Marin (90+6'), Fazzini (90+12')
Grassi (90+15')
Oct 6, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
0-0
Udinese
Maleh (56')
Pereyra (66'), Perez (84')
Mar 11, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 26
Empoli
0-1
Udinese
Becao (54')
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Udinese
1-1
Empoli
Pereyra (70')