Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Empoli |
| 49.92% ( | 24.74% ( | 25.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( | 49.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.56% ( | 71.43% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( | 19.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( | 51.87% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( | 33.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 25.33% |