Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 1
Lecce

Miretti (16', 45+2')
Caricol (29'), Miretti (34'), Vasquez (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Krstovic (68' pen.)
Berisha (49'), Krstovic (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 AC Milan
Saturday, March 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Lecce
44.11% ( -0)	28.51% ( 0)	27.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01% (

61.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27% (

81.73%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99%

28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-0)

63.65% (

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.85% (

39.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.14% (

75.86% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Genoa 44.11%

Lecce 27.37%

Draw 28.5%

Genoa	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.67% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.5%	0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.37%