Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 1
Genoa

Viola (18')
Deiola (60'), Pavoletti (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cornet (47')
Badelj (48'), Masini (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Genoa

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
41.76% ( 0.09)	27.72% ( 0.2)	30.51% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

-0.8)

58.09% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

-0.63)

78.76% (

0.63)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58% (

-0.33)

27.42% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1% (

-0.43)

62.89% (

0.43)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

-0.63)

34.53% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-0.67)

71.25% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 41.76%

Genoa 30.51%

Draw 27.72%

Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.76%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.72%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 30.51%