Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Cagliari

Dovbyk (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Viola (26'), Obert (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Roma
Thursday, March 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Genoa
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cagliari
70.47% ( -0.5)	18.7% ( 0.24)	10.84% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 43.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.93% (

-0.3)

47.07% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.69% (

-0.28)

69.32% (

0.29)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

-0.23)

12.13% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.3% (

-0.48)

37.71% (

0.49)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.58% (

0.31)

50.43% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05% (

0.22)

84.95% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Roma 70.46%

Cagliari 10.84%

Draw 18.7%

Roma	Draw	Cagliari
2-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 70.46%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.56% Total : 18.7%	0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.2% Total : 10.84%