Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.