Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 10, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Lazio logo

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 0
Lazio

Saltnes (47', 69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaccagni (34'), Castellanos (73'), Romagnoli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HamKam
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawLazio
51.85% (6.68 6.68)22.02% (-1.36 -1.36)26.13% (-5.318 -5.32)
Both teams to score 63.06% (0.934 0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.6% (2.932 2.93)36.4% (-2.927 -2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.47% (3.133 3.13)58.54% (-3.13 -3.13)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (3.498 3.5)14.27% (-3.494 -3.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.95% (6.409 6.41)42.05% (-6.405 -6.41)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-1.988 -1.99)26.44% (1.992 1.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.38% (-2.725 -2.72)61.62% (2.73 2.73)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 51.85%
    Lazio 26.13%
    Draw 22.02%
Bodo/GlimtDrawLazio
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.668 0.67)
3-1 @ 6.18% (0.914 0.91)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.907 0.91)
3-2 @ 4.11% (0.402 0.4)
4-1 @ 3.01% (0.733 0.73)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.646 0.65)
4-2 @ 2% (0.398 0.4)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.385 0.39)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 9.77% (-0.798 -0.8)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.946 -0.95)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-1.098 -1.1)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.97 -0.97)
1-3 @ 2.88% (-0.614 -0.61)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 26.13%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Lazio

Bodo/Glimt
42.0%
Draw
18.5%
Lazio
39.5%
243
rhs 2.0


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