Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 17, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Guimaraes

Goncalves (55'), Gyokeres (82')
Debast (10'), Catamo (57'), Gyokeres (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Borevkovic (8'), Mendes (17'), Oliveira (45+2'), Arcanjo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Farense
Sunday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
56.85% ( -0.56)	21.79% ( 0.05)	21.36% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.41% (

0.48)

40.59% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.03% (

0.49)

62.97% (

-0.48)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

-0.01)

14.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.26% (

-0.03)

41.74% (

0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.36% (

0.76)

32.63% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.82% (

0.84)

69.18% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 56.85%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 21.36%

Draw 21.78%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.85%	1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.36%