Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Farense

Gustavo (47')
Borevkovic (48'), Relvas (73'), Mendes (81'), Handel (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Matias (6'), Poveda (90+2')
Costa (45+4'), Pereira Azarias (47'), Jorge (90+10'), Poveda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 2-1 Famalicao
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
68.07% ( 0.4)	19.22% ( -0.19)	12.71% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.35% (

0.34)

44.65% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.33)

67.02% (

-0.33)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.21)

12.09% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.37% (

0.44)

37.63% (

-0.44)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.37% (

-0.12)

45.63% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.57% (

-0.09)

81.43% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 68.06%

SC Farense 12.71%

Draw 19.22%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 68.06%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.22%	0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.71%