Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 27, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 0
Rio Ave

Bakoulas (15' og.), Mendes (31'), Arcanjo (44')
Relvas (43')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tome Esteves Baptista (24'), Luiz (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, April 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 22 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
53.55% ( -0.1)	24.29% ( 0.12)	22.16% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.83% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.55% (

-0.47)

50.45% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

-0.42)

72.38% (

0.43)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.23% (

-0.22)

18.77% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.83% (

-0.37)

50.17% (

0.37)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58% (

-0.27)

37.42% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

-0.27)

74.2% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.54%

Rio Ave 22.16%

Draw 24.29%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.29%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 22.16%