Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.