Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 29.22% ( | 26.28% ( | 44.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( | 53.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( | 74.71% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( | 32.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( | 69.46% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.08% ( | 57.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.22% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.5% |