Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 37.07% ( | 28.86% ( | 34.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.59% ( | 61.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.7% ( | 81.3% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( | 31.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( | 33.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.06% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0-0 @ 10.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.07% |