Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica1 - 1Sporting Lisbon
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, May 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
82
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
85
We said: Benfica 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
A Benfica victory by more than one goal will see the Eagles crowned champions, based on the head-to-head rule, while a Sporting win by any margin would hand the title to the Lions. Expect a game brimming with emotion and caution, with the hosts under greater pressure to deliver, though playing at home could tip the balance in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
48% ( 0.73) | 22.89% ( 0.03) | 29.1% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 62.44% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
