Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Nicolas Otamendi 15' yellowcard
  • Florentino Luis 60' yellowcard
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 63' goal
  • Kerem Akturkoglu 70' yellowcard
  • Orkun Kokcu 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincao 4'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 19'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 54'
  • redcard Ricardo Esgaio 90'+8'

Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 8.30pm
Estoril 1 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2025 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 48% (+0.73)
Draw 22.89% (+0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 29.1% (-0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.44% (-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.69% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 38.3% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 39.41% (-0.65)
Under 3.5 60.58% (+0.65)
Over 4.5 21.67% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 78.33% (+0.52)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 83.71% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.28% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 54.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 45.84% (-0.07)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 74.59% (-0.79)
Under 0.5 25.4% (+0.79)
Over 1.5 39.78% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 60.21% (+1.09)

Score analysis

Benfica 48%
Draw 22.89%
Sporting Lisbon 29.1%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.34% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.51% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 6.81% (+0.22)
3-1 @ 5.65% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.51%
Total : 48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.14% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.89%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.1%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Viktor Gyokeres 42' goal
  • Maximiliano Araujo 45' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Schjelderup 29'
  • goal Andreas Schjelderup 29'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Fernandez 58'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 29' goal
  • Matheus Reis 59' yellowcard
  • Franco Israel 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 34'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 58'
  • yellowcard Tomas Araujo 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 1' goal
  • Geny Catamo 4' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 5' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 27' yellowcard
  • Geny Catamo 90'+1' goal
  • Paulinho 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 27'
  • yellowcard David Neres 39'
  • yellowcard Alexander Bah 45'+1'
  • goal Alexander Bah 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Casper Tengstedt 74'
  • yellowcard Fredrik Aursnes 86'
  • redcard Fredrik Aursnes 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Antonio Silva 90'+9'
Taca de Portugal
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Angel di Maria 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 52' goal
  • Rafa Silva 64' goal
  • Roger Schmidt 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 47'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 49'
  • goal Paulinho 55'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 72'
  • yellowcard Franco Israel 77'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 90'+2'
Taca de Portugal
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 33' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 41' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 54' goal
  • yellowcard Roger Schmidt 0'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 31'
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 68'
  • yellowcard Angel di Maria 74'
  • yellowcard Orkun Kokcu 75'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 66' yellowcard
  • Joao Neves 75' yellowcard
  • Joao Neves 90'+4' goal
  • Casper Tengstedt 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 15'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 22'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 45'
  • redcard Goncalo Inacio 51'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 57'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 69'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 90'+11'