Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Akturkoglu (63')
Otamendi (15'), Luis (60'), Akturkoglu (70'), Kokcu (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Trincao (4')
Hjulmand (19'), Silva (54')
Esgaio (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, May 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
48% ( 0.73)	22.89% ( 0.03)	29.1% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 62.44% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.69% (

-0.61)

38.3% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.41% (

-0.65)

60.58% (

0.65)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.71% (

0.03)

16.28% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.16% (

0.06)

45.84% (

-0.06)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

-0.78)

25.4% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

-1.09)

60.21% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Benfica 48%

Sporting Lisbon 29.1%

Draw 22.89%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 48%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.89%	1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 29.1%