Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, December 6 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
30.18% ( 0.11)	25.12% ( -0.03)	44.7% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

0.16)

47.89% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93% (

0.15)

70.07% (

-0.15)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

0.15)

29.51% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

0.19)

65.52% (

-0.2)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.03)

21.44% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.54% (

0.04)

54.45% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 30.18%

Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%

Draw 25.12%

Stuttgart	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.18%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.7%