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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
Leverkusen logo
Stuttgart
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')

Preview: Stuttgart vs. Bayer Leverkusen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Stuttgart play host to Bayer Leverkusen on Sunday afternoon looking to end a three-match winless streak in the Bundesliga.

While the home side are down in 10th position in the table, Leverkusen currently occupy sixth spot after collecting seven points from a possible 12.


Match preview

Stuttgart head coach Pellegrino Matarazzo pictured on July 12, 2021© Reuters

On the back of defeats to RB Leipzig and Freiburg, Stuttgart were under pressure to get back on track when they travelled to Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend.

Trailing by a goal and at a player disadvantage, the writing looked to be on the wall for Pellegrino Matarazzo's side heading into the closing stages.

However, Omar Marmoush marked his first outing since arriving on loan from Wolfsburg with an 88th-minute equaliser, keeping Stuttgart a point above the relegation zone.

Matarazzo will hope that the goal will act as the catalyst for better things to come, particularly with a favourable schedule ahead of his side until the middle of November.

Bayer Leverkusen coach Gerardo Seoane reacts on September 11, 2021© Reuters

At a time when Stuttgart had already begun preparations for this fixture, Leverkusen were focused on trying to start their Europa League campaign with victory over Ferencvaros.

Gerardo Seoane's side made hard work of the game, initially falling behind to their Hungarian opponents, but Leverkusen eventually recovered to post a 2-1 victory.

Eighteen-year-old Florian Wirtz, who has been linked with a number of European football's top clubs, continued his remarkable start to the season with his sixth goal contribution in just 205 minutes of football.

Seoane will not want to rely too heavily on a player of his age, but Wirtz has arguably emerged as the most productive teenager in world football this season.

Leverkusen's only defeat thus far came against Borussia Dortmund after the international break, their rivals rallying during the closing quarter to claim a 4-3 triumph at the BayArena.

Stuttgart Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Stuttgart form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D

Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L

Bayer Leverkusen form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Bayer Leverkusen's Patrik Schick celebrates scoring their second goal on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Stuttgart will be without Waldermar Anton after the defender was sent off during the closing stages against Frankfurt.

Atakan Karazor could drop into the back three, with Orel Mangala potentially deputising at right wing-back as Matarazzo continues to contend with widespread selection issues.

Mitchel Bakker should return at left-back for Leverkusen with Daley Sinkgraven picking up an injury on Thursday night.

Charles Aranguiz and Patrik Schick may also come back into the starting lineup after their substitute appearances against Ferencvaros.

Paulinho will also hope for a recall on one of the flanks after providing an assist during the Dortmund game.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Muller; Kempf, Karazor, Mavropanos; Mangala, Klement, Endo, Massimo, Sosa; Klimowicz; Marmoush

Bayer Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Frimpong, Tah, Kossounou, Bakker; Palacios, Aranguiz; Diaby, Wirtz, Paulinho; Schick


SM words green background

We say: Stuttgart 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Everything points to Leverkusen prevailing from this contest, potentially by a narrow margin. However, we are backing the home side to get back on track with a point, earning a result which could kick-start their season.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
19.4%
Draw
16.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
63.9%
72
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Bayer Leverkusen's Florian Wirtz and Moussa Diaby celebrate scoring their first goal with teammates on September 11, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26224066184870
2Bayern MunichBayern26193478314760
3Stuttgart26182660312956
4Borussia DortmundDortmund26148453322150
5RB Leipzig26154760322849
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26101064235740
7Augsburg269894342135
8Hoffenheim2696114450-633
9Freiburg2696113648-1233
10Werder Bremen2686123541-630
11Heidenheim2678113544-929
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach26610104650-428
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2684142542-1728
14Wolfsburg2667133144-1325
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum26510113054-2425
16Mainz 05Mainz26310132246-2419
17FC Koln2639142047-2718
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2627172665-3913

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