Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 4
Middlesbrough

Bowler (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Clarke (45'), Azaz (49'), Latte Lath (56'), Gilbert (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Middlesbrough

This is a fixture with two evenly-matched sides who have collected regular points of late, making this a difficult match to predict. However, with Boro now three games without success on their travels, we are backing Cardiff to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Middlesbrough
29.87% ( 0.2)	24.28% ( 0.02)	45.86% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

0.03)

44.33% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

0.03)

66.71% (

-0.03)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

0.16)

27.93% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

0.2)

63.56% (

-0.19)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.08)

19.48% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

-0.13)

51.34% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 29.87%

Middlesbrough 45.86%

Draw 24.28%

Cardiff City	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.87%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.86%