Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brest in this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
40.18% ( -0.61) | 27.59% ( -0.08) | 32.23% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.86% ( 0.46) | 57.14% ( -0.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.99% ( 0.36) | 78% ( -0.36) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( -0.12) | 27.84% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.56% ( -0.16) | 63.44% ( 0.16) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.72) | 32.79% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( 0.8) | 69.35% ( -0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |