Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Bnei Sakhnin had a probability of 13.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Bnei Sakhnin win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.