Athletic Bilbao3 - 0Atletico
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
45.79% ( 0.28) | 25.41% ( 0.16) | 28.8% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
