Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Petah Tikva would win this match.