Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Sport Recife
46.13% ( 0.47)	27.34% ( -0.04)	26.53% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 46.36% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.53% (

-0.13)

58.47% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.94% (

-0.1)

79.05% (

0.09)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

0.17)

25.34% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

0.24)

60.12% (

-0.25)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.09% (

-0.45)

37.9% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.32% (

-0.44)

74.67% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Ceara 46.12%

Sport Recife 26.53%

Draw 27.34%

Ceara	Draw	Sport Recife
1-0 @ 13.18% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.12%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 26.53%