Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Apr 22, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Ademir 49' yellowcard
  • Ademir 49' yellowcard
  • Everton Macedo Moraes 64' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 64' yellowcard
  • Everton Macedo Moraes 64' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 64' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 90'+14' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 90'+14' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Mugni 40'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mugni 40'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 76'
  • yellowcard Rafael Ramos 76'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 84'
  • yellowcard Fernando Sobral 84'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 90'+14'
  • yellowcard Fabiano Silva 90'+14'

Bahia vs Ceara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2025 1.30am
Cruzeiro 3 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luciano

Ceara

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2025 1.30am
Ceara 2 - 1 Vasco
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Pedro Raul

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result

Bahia 60.77% (-0.46)
Draw 22.72% (+0.22)
Ceara 16.51% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.34% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.34% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 51.66% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 26.56% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 73.44% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 12.36% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 87.64% (+0.25)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 83.41% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 16.59% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 53.6% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 46.4% (+0.57)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5 55.56% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 19.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.48% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Bahia 60.76%
Draw 22.72%
Ceara 16.51%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.24% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 7.37% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.72%
Ceara
0-1 @ 5.98% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.36% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.43% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.51%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Oct 27, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matheus Bahia 35' yellowcard
  • Nino Paraiba 38' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 57' goal
  • Lucas Araujo 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Pacheco 32'
  • goal Stiven Mendoza 54'
  • yellowcard Cleber 81'
  • redcard Cleber 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Saulo 16' goal
  • Stiven Mendoza 37' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 67' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 89' yellowcard
  • goal Gilberto 31'
  • goal Gilberto 35'
  • yellowcard Jonas 60'
  • yellowcard Edson 81'
  • yellowcard Thonny Anderson 86'
  • yellowcard Maycon Douglas 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Dec 5, 2020 10.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edson 43' yellowcard
  • Elias 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius 29'
  • yellowcard Tiago 73'
  • goal Vinicius 82'
  • goal Saulo 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Aug 24, 2020 12.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Cleber 12' goal
  • Cleber 12' goal
  • William Oliveira 33' yellowcard
  • Mateus Goncalves Martins 75' goal
  • Mateus Goncalves 75' goal
  • yellowcard Gregore 44'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 21, 2019 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador, Bahia)
  • Alejandro Guerra 32' yellowcard
  • Elber 40' yellowcard
  • Artur 75' goal
  • yellowcard Bergson 17'
  • yellowcard Cristovam 34'
  • yellowcard Felipe Baxola 54'
  • goal Luiz Otavio 84'
  • goal Luiz Otavio 93'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
Jun 8, 2019 11.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (Fortaleza, Ceará)
  • Samuel Xavier 65' yellowcard
  • Ricardinho 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gregore 77'
  • yellowcard Artur 77'