Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 22, 2025 at 12am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Ceara

Bahia
1 - 0
Ceara

Ribeiro (90+14' pen., 90+14' pen.)
Ademir (49'), Ademir (49'), Macedo Moraes (64'), Ribeiro (64'), Macedo Moraes (64'), Ribeiro (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mugni (40'), Mugni (40'), Ramos (76'), Ramos (76'), Sobral (84'), Sobral (84'), Silva (90+14'), Silva (90+14')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Ceara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Bahia
Friday, April 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Ceara

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 2-1 Vasco
Wednesday, April 16 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCeara
60.77% (-0.459 -0.46)22.72% (0.213 0.21)16.51% (0.248 0.25)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.432 -0.43)51.66% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.375 -0.38)73.44% (0.378 0.38)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)16.59% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (-0.558 -0.56)46.4% (0.56 0.56)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (0.065000000000005 0.07)44.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.52% (0.052 0.05)80.48% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 60.76%
    Ceara 16.51%
    Draw 22.72%
BahiaDrawCeara
1-0 @ 13.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.025 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 60.76%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.127 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.51%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 23
Bahia
1-1
Ceara
Gilberto (57')
Bahia (35'), Paraiba (38'), Araujo (72')
Mendoza (54')
Pacheco (32'), Cleber (81')
Cleber (83')
> Preview
Jun 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 4
Ceara
1-2
Bahia
Saulo (16')
Mendoza (37'), Jorginho (67'), Pacheco (89')
Gilberto (31' pen., 35')
Jonas (60'), Edson (81'), Anderson (86'), Douglas (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 24
Bahia
0-2
Ceara

Edson (43'), Elias (50')
Vinicius (82'), Saulo (90+5')
Vinicius (29'), Tiago (73')
Aug 24, 2020 12am
Gameweek 5
Ceara
2-0
Bahia
Cleber (12'), Goncalves (75')
Oliveira (33')

Gregore (44'), Ronaldo (70')
Oct 21, 2019 11.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bahia
1-2
Ceara
Artur (75')
Guerra (32'), Elber (40')
Otavio (84', 93')
Bergson (17'), Cristovam (34'), Baxola (54')