Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
1 - 1
Mirassol

da Costa Farias (40')
Alexandre (67'), Gilberto (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gabriel (17'), Castilho (71')
Clayson (42'), Victor Carroll Santana (45+5'), Roni (65'), Castilho (71'), Reinaldo (90+5')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Mirassol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Bahia
Wednesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Mirassol

All competitions
Last Game: Mirassol 1-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawMirassol
65.87% (0.405 0.41)20.84% (-0.225 -0.23)13.29% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 44.41% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88% (0.517 0.52)50.11% (-0.52 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (0.458 0.46)72.08% (-0.46100000000001 -0.46)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.59% (0.292 0.29)14.4% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.68% (0.568 0.57)42.31% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (0.030999999999999 0.03)48.1% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (0.023 0.02)83.31% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 65.85%
    Mirassol 13.29%
    Draw 20.84%
BahiaDrawMirassol
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 13%
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.15% (0.071 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.58% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 65.85%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 20.84%
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 3.6% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 13.29%