Apr 18, 2025 1.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Lucas Romero 45'+7'
Lucas Romero 45'+7'
William 53'
William 53'
Kaio Jorge 60'
Kaio Jorge 60'
Wanderson 64'
Wanderson 64'
Kaio Jorge 65'
Kaio Jorge 65'
Kaio Jorge 76'
Kaio Jorge 76'
Christian 76'
Christian 76'
Fabricio Bruno 90'+1'
Fabricio Bruno 90'+1'

Erick 23'
Erick 23'
Santiago Arias 61'
Santiago Arias 61'

Cruzeiro vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

D
L
L
L
W
W

Brasileiro

D
L
W
W
L
D

Last game

Apr 13, 2025 9.30pm

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Cruzeiro

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Kaio Jorge

Bahia

All competitions

D
W
D
D
D
W

Brasileiro

D
D
D
W
L
W

Last game

Apr 13, 2025 8.00pm

Bahia 1 - 1 Mirassol

Goals scored

50

Top scorer

Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result

Cruzeiro 42.27% ▼ (-0.67)

Draw 26.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Bahia 30.99% ▲ (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score:

50.6% ▲ (+0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.74% ▲ (+0.18)

Under 2.5 54.26% ▼ (-0.18)

Over 3.5 24.34% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 3.5 75.66% ▼ (-0.15)

Over 4.5 10.95% ▲ (+0.10)

Under 4.5 89.05% ▼ (-0.10)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 74.62% ▼ (-0.26)

Under 0.5 25.38% ▲ (+0.26)

Over 1.5 39.81% ▼ (-0.36)

Under 1.5 60.19% ▲ (+0.36)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 67.82% ▲ (+0.56)

Under 0.5 32.19% ▼ (-0.56)

Over 1.5 31.33% ▲ (+0.63)

Under 1.5 68.67% ▼ (-0.63)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 42.26%

Draw 26.73%

Bahia 30.99%

Cruzeiro

1-0 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.17)

2-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.17)

3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.11)

3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)

4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)

4-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 2.37%

Total : 42.26%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.69% ▲ (+0.01)

0-0 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.06)

2-2 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.94%

Total : 26.73%

Bahia

0-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.08)

1-2 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.12)

0-2 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.13)

1-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.09)

0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.08)

2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 2.71%

Total : 30.99%

Head to Head

Oct 19, 2024 1.30am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Gabriel Veron 61'
Matheus Pereira 74'

Everton Ribeiro 43'
Luciano 59'
Luciano Rodriguez 82'

Jun 23, 2024 8.00pm

4

1

HT : 1 1

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Thaciano 45'+9'
Oscar Estupinan 78'
Gabriel Teixeira 90'+1'
Oscar Estupinan 90'+6'

Gabriel Veron 14'
Lucas Silva 45'+2'
Gabriel Veron 48'
Marlon 70'
Ramiro 90'

Oct 26, 2023 12.00am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Kanu 19'
Kanu 19'
Lucas Silva 27'
Lucas Silva 27'
Marlon 53'
Marlon 53'
Machado 75'
Machado 75'
Bruno Rodrigues 88'
Bruno Rodrigues 88'

Camilo Candido 63'
Camilo Candido 63'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'
Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'

Jun 10, 2023 10.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT Arena Fonte Nova

Kayky 18'
Arthur Sales 66'

Bruno Rodrigues 30'
Wesley 45'+1'

Nov 3, 2019 10.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT EstÃ¡dio Governador MagalhÃ£es Pinto (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)

Luis Manuel Orejuela 45'
Luis Manuel Orejuela 64'
Fred 73'
Sassa 74'
Henrique 82'

Fernandao 66'

Jul 20, 2019 9.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Arthur 35'
Arthur 42'
Ezequiel 56'

Caca 80'

Form Data

Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 1 - 2 Mushuc Runa

Internacional 3 - 0 Cruzeiro

Union 1 - 0 Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro 2 - 1 Mirassol

Juventude 0 - 1 Cruzeiro

Bahia 1 - 1 Mirassol

Nacional 0 - 1 Bahia

Santos 2 - 2 Bahia

Bahia 1 - 1 Internacional

Bahia 1 - 1 Corinthians

Bahia 1 - 0 Boston River