Brasileiro | Gameweek 4

Apr 18, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
3 - 0
Bahia

Romero (45+7', 45+7'), Jorge (65', 65', 76', 76')
William (53'), William (53'), Jorge (60'), Jorge (60'), Wanderson (64'), Wanderson (64'), Christian (76'), Christian (76'), Bruno (90+1'), Bruno (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Erick (23'), Erick (23'), Arias (61'), Arias (61')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Bahia

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Mirassol
Sunday, April 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Bahia
42.27% ( -0.66)	26.74% ( 0.01)	30.99% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 50.6% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74% (

0.18)

54.26% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34% (

0.15)

75.66% (

-0.15)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

-0.26)

25.38% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.81% (

-0.35)

60.19% (

0.36)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

0.56)

32.19% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

0.63)

68.67% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 42.26%

Bahia 30.99%

Draw 26.73%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.26%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.99%