Cruzeiro
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
1 - 2
Mushuc Runa

Barbosa (67' pen., 67' pen.)
Pereira (45+2'), Wanderson (45+3'), Pereira (45+2'), Wanderson (45+3'), de Jesus Alves (46'), de Jesus Alves (46')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez (29', 29'), Bentaberry (77', 77')
Arturo Arce Mina (45+2'), Arturo Arce Mina (45+2'), Mina (66'), Mina (66'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (75'), Nicolas Davila Alarcon (75')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cruzeiro and Mushuc Runa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 6 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Mushuc Runa

All competitions
Last Game: Mushuc Runa 3-2 Palestino
Friday, April 4 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
CruzeiroDrawMushuc Runa
63.76% (0.466 0.47)21.02% (-0.21 -0.21)15.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
Both teams to score 48.64% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (0.395 0.4)47.05% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (0.367 0.37)69.29% (-0.367 -0.37)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.271 0.27)14.08% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33% (0.52800000000001 0.53)41.67% (-0.526 -0.53)
Mushuc Runa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.61% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)43.39% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.38% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)79.62% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cruzeiro 63.75%
    Mushuc Runa 15.22%
    Draw 21.02%
CruzeiroDrawMushuc Runa
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 7.67% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.41% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.76% (0.084 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.75%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.02%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.22%