Copa Sudamericana
Apr 10, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Jonathan de Jesus Alves 46' yellowcard
  • Jonathan de Jesus Alves 46' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Wanderson 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 67' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 67' goal
  • goal Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez 29'
  • goal Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quinonez 29'
  • yellowcard Luis Arturo Arce Mina 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luis Arturo Arce Mina 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Glendys Mina 66'
  • yellowcard Glendys Mina 66'
  • yellowcard Esteban Nicolas Davila Alarcon 75'
  • yellowcard Esteban Nicolas Davila Alarcon 75'
  • goal Bryan Bentaberry 77'
  • goal Bryan Bentaberry 77'

Cruzeiro vs Mushuc Runa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 1, 2025 11.00pm
Union 1 - 0 Cruzeiro

Mushuc Runa

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 4, 2025 3.00am
Mushuc Runa 3 - 2 Palestino

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mushuc Runa had a probability of 15.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Mushuc Runa win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result

Cruzeiro 63.76% (+0.47)
Draw 21.02% (-0.22)
Mushuc Runa 15.22% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.64% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.95% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 47.05% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 30.71% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 69.29% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 15.16% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 84.84% (-0.26)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 85.92% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 14.08% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 58.33% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 41.67% (-0.53)

Mushuc Runa Goals

Over 0.5 56.61% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 43.39% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 20.38% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 79.62% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Cruzeiro 63.75%
Draw 21.02%
Mushuc Runa 15.22%
Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.97% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 11.74% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8%
3-0 @ 7.67% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.41% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.76% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.14% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.48% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.31% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.02%
Mushuc Runa
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.17% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.22%