Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruzeiro in this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Cruzeiro
30.71% ( 0.7)	26.32% ( 0.02)	42.97% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32% (

0.19)

52.67% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68% (

0.16)

74.31% (

-0.17)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

0.6)

31.57% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

0.69)

67.97% (

-0.69)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

-0.27)

24.31% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.3% (

-0.39)

58.7% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Juventude 30.71%

Cruzeiro 42.97%

Draw 26.31%

Juventude	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.71%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.97%