Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.