Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Bragantino
39.04% ( -0.03)	27.95% ( -0.2)	33.02% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.7% (

0.74)

58.3% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07% (

0.58)

78.93% (

-0.58)

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.95% (

0.35)

29.05% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.04% (

0.43)

64.96% (

-0.43)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

0.54)

32.85% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

0.6)

69.42% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 39.03%

Bragantino 33.01%

Draw 27.94%

Sport Recife	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.66% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.01%