Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Criciuma
61.41% ( -0.19)	22.04% ( 0.02)	16.55% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 48.44% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.2)

48.88% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

0.18)

70.97% (

-0.18)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58% (

0.01)

15.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75% (

0.01)

44.25% (

-0.01)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.27% (

0.33)

42.73% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.94% (

0.28)

79.06% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 61.4%

Criciuma 16.55%

Draw 22.03%

Bragantino	Draw	Criciuma
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 61.4%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.55%