Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.