Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Santos
53.54% ( 0.44)	25.63% ( 0.01)	20.83% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 45.29% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.11% (

-0.47)

56.89% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.19% (

-0.38)

77.81% (

0.39)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

-0.01)

21.31% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.75% (

-0.02)

54.25% (

0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

-0.74)

42.44% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0.64)

78.82% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 53.54%

Santos 20.83%

Draw 25.63%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.54%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.83%