Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.