Copa Sudamericana
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-
Juan Cuesta
7'
-
Juan Cuesta
7'
-
Alejandro Garcia Castillo
68'
-
Alejandro Garcia Castillo
68'
-
Mateo Garcia Rojas
70'
-
Mateo Garcia Rojas
70'
-
John Manuel Arteaga Arboleda
90'+2'
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John Manuel Arteaga Arboleda
90'+2'
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Agustin Canobbio
18'
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Agustin Canobbio
18'
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German Cano
31'
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German Cano
31'
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Martinelli
90'+2'
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Martinelli
90'+2'
Once Caldas vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Once Caldas had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Once Caldas win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fluminense in this match.
Result
Once Caldas
27.81%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
29.19%
▲
(+0.04)
Fluminense
43%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
42.35%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.07%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
63.93%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
16.86%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
83.14%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
6.6%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
93.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Once Caldas Goals
Over 0.5
60.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
39.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
23.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
76.54%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5
70.44%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
29.56%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
34.41%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
65.59%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Once Caldas
27.8%
Draw
29.17%
Fluminense
42.99%
Once Caldas
1-0
@
10.83%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 27.8%
2-1 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 27.8%
Draw
1-1
@
13.2%
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.17%
0-0 @ 11.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.17%
Fluminense
0-1
@
14.36%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.99%
0-2 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.99%