Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Palogrande

Once Caldas
0 - 1
Fluminense

Cuesta (7'), Cuesta (7'), Garcia Castillo (68'), Garcia Castillo (68'), Garcia Rojas (70'), Garcia Rojas (70'), Manuel Arteaga Arboleda (90+2'), Manuel Arteaga Arboleda (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cano (31', 31')
Canobbio (18'), Canobbio (18'), Martinelli (90+2'), Martinelli (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Once Caldas and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Once Caldas

Last Game: Once Caldas 1-0 Millonarios
Thursday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense

All competitions

Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Fluminense
Saturday, March 29 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Once Caldas had a probability of 27.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Once Caldas win it was 1-0 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fluminense in this match.

Result
Once Caldas	Draw	Fluminense
27.81% ( 0.06)	29.19% ( 0.04)	43% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 42.35% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.07% (

-0.09)

63.93% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.86% (

-0.06)

83.14% (

0.06)

Once Caldas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.12% (

39.88% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.46% (

76.54%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.1)

29.56% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

-0.12)

65.59% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Once Caldas 27.8%

Fluminense 42.99%

Draw 29.17%

Once Caldas	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.8%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 14.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.99%