Copa Sudamericana
Mar 6, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Palogrande
  • Jefry Arley Zapata Ramirez 32' yellowcard
  • Jefry Arley Zapata Ramirez 32' yellowcard
  • Jerson Andres Malagon Piracun 68' yellowcard
  • Jerson Andres Malagon Piracun 68' yellowcard
  • Michael Barrios 80' goal
  • Michael Barrios 80' goal
  • Michael Barrios 81' yellowcard
  • Michael Barrios 81' yellowcard
  • Esteban Beltran 83' yellowcard
  • Esteban Beltran 83' yellowcard
  • Luis Angel Palacios Mena 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Luis Angel Palacios Mena 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jader Andres Valencia Mena 23'
  • yellowcard Jader Andres Valencia Mena 23'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vargas 32'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Vargas 32'
  • yellowcard Santiago Giordana 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Santiago Giordana 90'+1'

Once Caldas vs Millonarios - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Once Caldas

All competitions

Millonarios

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Once Caldas win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Once Caldas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Once Caldas in this match.

Result

Once Caldas 38.05% (+0.43)
Draw 29.19% (-0.10)
Millonarios 32.75% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.09% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.34% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 62.66% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 17.78% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 82.22% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 7.09% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 92.91% (-0.11)

Once Caldas Goals

Over 0.5 68.19% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 31.81% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 31.75% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 68.25% (-0.47)

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5 64.67% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 35.33% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 27.91% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 72.09% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Once Caldas 38.05%
Draw 29.19%
Millonarios 32.75%
Once Caldas
1-0 @ 12.87% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.37% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 2.82% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.99% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.19%
Millonarios
0-1 @ 11.69% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.75%