Fluminense
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
5 - 0
Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Stum (21', 21', 44', 44'), Serna (59', 59'), Cano (73', 73', 79', 79')
Hercules (81'), Hercules (81')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Becerra (50'), Becerra (50')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Bragantino
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

All competitions
Last Game: Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-1 Union Espanola
Thursday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 7.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
79.4% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)13.44% (0.039 0.04)7.16% (0.053 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.33% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.32% (0.024999999999991 0.02)34.68% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.37% (0.027000000000001 0.03)56.63% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.11% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)6.89% (0.014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.68% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)25.32% (0.038 0.04)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.75% (0.159 0.16)50.25% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.17% (0.109 0.11)84.83% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 79.38%
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 7.16%
    Draw 13.44%
FluminenseDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
2-0 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 11.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 79.38%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-2 @ 2.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 13.44%
0-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 7.16%

rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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