Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 7.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.04%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.