Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles

Aurora
0 - 1
Gualberto Villarroel SJ

FT(HT: 0-0)
Moises Calero Salazar (62')
Bejarano Azogue (14')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Aurora and Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aurora

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Last Game: Botafogo 6-0 Aurora
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Aurora vs. San Jose
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Gualberto Villarroel SJ

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aurora win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Gualberto Villarroel SJ had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aurora win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
AuroraDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
72.27% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)11.06%
Both teams to score 51.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Aurora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)8.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)43.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)79.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aurora 72.26%
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 11.06%
    Draw 16.67%
AuroraDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
2-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 9.12% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.59%
4-0 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 3.15%
5-0 @ 2.65%
5-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.06%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 72.26%
1-1 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 3.93%
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 16.67%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-1 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.06%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Aurora
rhs 2.0


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