Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1 - 1
Union Espanola

Lopez Pissano (88')
Vargas (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antonio Nunez Estrada (82')
Diaz (70')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Union Espanola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

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Last Game: Aurora 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Union Espanola

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Last Game: Union Espanola 2-2 Everton (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Union Espanola had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Union Espanola win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawUnion Espanola
43.78% (0.251 0.25)22.81% (-0.254 -0.25)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 65.12% (0.964 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.24% (1.261 1.26)35.76% (-1.263 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (1.379 1.38)57.83% (-1.379 -1.38)
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.1% (0.60299999999999 0.6)16.9% (-0.605 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (1.065 1.07)46.94% (-1.066 -1.07)
Union Espanola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (0.593 0.59)21.63% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.899 0.9)54.75% (-0.901 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Gualberto Villarroel SJ 43.78%
    Union Espanola 33.4%
    Draw 22.81%
Gualberto Villarroel SJDrawUnion Espanola
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.01% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.082 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.026 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 6.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.46% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.4%