Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Union Espanola had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Union Espanola win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.