Copa Sudamericana | First Round

Mar 5, 2025 at 10pm UK

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida

Union Espanola
2 - 2
Everton

Jeraldino (8'), Aranguiz (45+1' pen.)
Ramirez (17'), Espinoza (56'), Diaz (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ramirez (2', 81' pen.)
Guzman (4'), Soto (16'), Magallanes (41'), Hernandez (56'), Pineiro (98')

Union Espanola win 3-1 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Union Espanola and Everton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Espanola

Last Game: Antofagasta 0-1 Union Espanola (4-1 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Everton

Last Game: Everton 0-1 Union La Calera
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Espanola win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Espanola win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%).

Result
Union Espanola	Draw	Everton
42.09% ( -0.01)	24.02% ( -0.03)	33.88% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.77% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.47% (

0.13)

41.53% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

0.13)

63.93% (

-0.14)

Union Espanola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

0.05)

19.95% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88% (

0.08)

52.11% (

-0.09)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

0.08)

24.08% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.63% (

0.12)

58.37% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Union Espanola 42.09%

Everton 33.88%

Draw 24.02%

Union Espanola	Draw	Everton
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.88%