Botafogo logo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 16, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo

Botafogo
2 - 2
Sao Paulo

Savarino (24'), Jesus (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferreira (21'), Silva (45+13')
Alves Nascimento (53'), Ferreira (66'), Arboleda (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, April 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Cruzeiro
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
49.74% (0.633 0.63)26.5% (-0.191 -0.19)23.77% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 46.31% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.67% (0.341 0.34)57.33% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (0.269 0.27)78.16% (-0.27 -0.27)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.43299999999999 0.43)23.14% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.63 0.63)57.01% (-0.629 -0.63)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-0.223 -0.22)39.75% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (-0.206 -0.21)76.42% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 49.74%
    Sao Paulo 23.77%
    Draw 26.5%
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.49% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Botafogo vs Sao Paulo

Botafogo
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 38
Botafogo
2-1
Sao Paulo
Savarino (37'), Gregore (90+2')
Gomes Carvalho Santos (63')
Sep 26, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Sao Paulo
1-1
Botafogo
(Aggregate 1-1 | Botafogo win 5-4 on penalties)
Calleri (87')
Bobadilla (53'), Nestor (79'), Marcal (90+2'), Vinicius (90+7'), Rafinha (90+2'), Rafinha (90+2')
Rafinha (90+2')
Almada (15')
Barboza (45+2'), John (49')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Botafogo
0-0
Sao Paulo
Henrique (30'), Bastos (72')
Rafinha (82'), Arboleda (90+4')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
> Preview