Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Universidad
1 - 0
Botafogo

Di Yorio (59')
Fernandez (26'), Sepulveda (75'), Aranguiz (90+3'), Guerra (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Paula (26'), Gregore (47'), Jeffinho (90+1'), Jesus (90+5')
Jesus (90+6')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad de Chile and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad de Chile

Last Game: San Lorenzo 2-0 Universidad
Thursday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Botafogo

All competitions

Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 46.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Universidad de Chile in this match.

Result
Universidad de Chile	Draw	Botafogo
46.67% ( 1.72)	28.27% ( 0.18)	25.06% ( -1.89)

Both teams to score 42.83% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.6% (

-1.58)

62.4% (

1.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.97% (

-1.17)

82.03% (

1.17)

Universidad de Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

0.14)

26.87% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81% (

0.18)

62.19% (

-0.18)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.58% (

-2.57)

41.42% (

2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.07% (

-2.35)

77.93% (

2.35)

Score Analysis

Universidad de Chile 46.66%

Botafogo 25.06%

Draw 28.27%

Universidad de Chile	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 46.66%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.21% Total : 25.06%