CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg

Feb 21, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron

Racing
2 - 0
Botafogo

Vietto (31' pen., 31' pen.), Martinez (63', 63')
Di Cesare (16'), Di Cesare (16'), Zuculini (41'), Zuculini (41'), Martirena (81'), Martirena (81'), Ignacio Nardoni (82'), Ignacio Nardoni (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barboza (29'), Barboza (29'), da Silva (45+3'), da Silva (45+3'), Araujo da Costa Junior (70'), Araujo da Costa Junior (70'), Seco (72'), Seco (72')
Cuiabano (87'), Cuiabano (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONMEBOL Recopa clash between Racing Club and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions

Last Game: Racing 2-3 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, February 16 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Botafogo

All competitions

Last Game: Botafogo 0-3 Pachuca
Wednesday, December 11 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing Club	Draw	Botafogo
38.32% ( -1.86)	27.85% ( -1.06)	33.82% ( 2.92)

Both teams to score 48.08% (

3.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.17% (

4.23)

57.82% (

-4.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.45% (

3.23)

78.55% (

-3.23)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.99)

29.23% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

1.2)

65.19% (

-1.21)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.94% (

4.31)

32.06% (

-4.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.47% (

4.62)

68.53% (

-4.63)

Score Analysis

Racing Club 38.32%

Botafogo 33.82%

Draw 27.85%

Racing Club	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -1.63) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.32%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -1.62) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.56) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.73) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.56) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.38) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.82%