Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 46.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Tigre win it was 1-0 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.