Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 14.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.13%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.